In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. conducted. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Don't miss out! The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. All Rights Reserved. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . backed Scotland becoming an independent country. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. A poll of more than 1,000 people . YouGov found . In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Energy & utilities. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. Business & professional services. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? Please check you have typed it correctly. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. 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Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Easy-to-digest video clips. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. All Rights Reserved. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. All Rights Reserved. An existing account was found for this email address. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? All rights reserved. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK?